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　　Pork Commentary – June 8, 2015 – World Pork Expo Report

　　Yesterday, June 8th 11:34pm

　　World Pork Expo Report

　　世界豬肉博覽會(huì)報(bào)告

　　Last week we participated at the World Pork Expo, which is held annually in Des Moines Iowa.

　　上周，我們參加了每年在艾奧瓦州得梅因舉行的世界豬肉博覽會(huì)(World Pork Expo，WPX)。

　　Our Observations:

　　我們的觀察

　　· The World Pork Expo (WPX) was well attended. There were lots of visitors for the exhibitors.

　　· 世界豬肉博覽會(huì)的參會(huì)情況很好。觀眾和參展商人數(shù)眾多。

　　· The WPX was professionally organized by the National Pork Producers Council (NPPC). The WPX is a major revenue generator for the NPPC.

　　· 世界豬肉博覽會(huì)得到了全國(guó)豬肉生產(chǎn)者理事會(huì)(National Pork Producers Council，NPPC)的專業(yè)組織。世界豬肉博覽會(huì)是全國(guó)豬肉生產(chǎn)者理事會(huì)的主要利潤(rùn)來(lái)源。

　　· Producers were in an upbeat mood. Profits are decent and last year was the most profitable ever.

　　· 生產(chǎn)者們都很開(kāi)心。利潤(rùn)很好，去年是最賺錢的一年。

　　· There is sow herd expansion underway. Sow barns are being built and planned for. We expect 200,000 new sow places are in play. No doubt the production base is expanding.

　　· 母豬群正在擴(kuò)張中。母豬場(chǎng)正在建設(shè)和規(guī)劃。我們預(yù)計(jì)有20萬(wàn)新母豬的規(guī)模正在進(jìn)行之中。毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)，生產(chǎn)基地正在擴(kuò)張。

　　· It appears that Prrs could be a factor. We heard several anecdotal stories of dead sows, abortions, and dead pigs. Partially filled nurseries, and finishers. Sow herd de-pops. Major hit areas – Carolinas – Illinois. How many lost pigs? Anyone’s guess!

　　· 豬繁殖和呼吸障礙綜合征可能是原因之一。我們聽(tīng)到了很多關(guān)于母豬死亡、流產(chǎn)及死豬的案例。保育舍和育成舍沒(méi)有滿舍。母豬場(chǎng)清群。受到影響的主要領(lǐng)域?yàn)榭_來(lái)納州和伊利諾伊州。損失了多少頭豬?誰(shuí)也說(shuō)不準(zhǔn)!

　　· Producers were positive about how the corn – soybean crops are growing. So far, so good. Several comments that with things growing like they are, corn could have a 2 in front of its price per bushel this fall.

　　· 生產(chǎn)者對(duì)于玉米和大豆作物的增長(zhǎng)情況表示樂(lè)觀。迄今為止， 一切順利。很多評(píng)論認(rèn)為，如果按現(xiàn)在的情況生長(zhǎng)，今天秋天每蒲式耳的玉米價(jià)格將以2打頭。

　　· Several producers and industry people discussed what is happening in China. We all know that a bump in pork exports would support prices. We met with several Chinese industry people who confirmed the massive sow herd liquidation that has been happening in China.

　　· 很多生產(chǎn)者和業(yè)內(nèi)人士討論了中國(guó)發(fā)生的情況。我們都知道突如其來(lái)的豬肉出口會(huì)支持價(jià)格。我們見(jiàn)到了很多中國(guó)的行業(yè)人士，他們確認(rèn)了發(fā)生在中國(guó)的母豬大量淘汰。

　　· There were producers from Canada and Mexico at WPX. We do not sense any sow herd expansion in Canada. Mexico on the other hand seems to be looking at expansion. We heard plans for over 50,000 sows. Profits have been good in Mexico and this is leading to confidence in further growth in production.

　　· 世界豬肉博覽會(huì)有來(lái)自加拿大和墨西哥的生產(chǎn)者。我們沒(méi)有感受到加拿大出現(xiàn)任何母豬群擴(kuò)張。另一方面，好像墨西哥正在尋求擴(kuò)張。我們聽(tīng)說(shuō)了超過(guò)5萬(wàn)頭母豬的計(jì)劃。墨西哥已經(jīng)有很好的利潤(rùn)，這給進(jìn)一步增加產(chǎn)量提供了信心。

　　· There seems to be a further push in different ways to approach pork sales – antibiotic free, humane, enhanced, breed selection, and housing type. All are becoming different ways for groups to market. Not sure there is much volume involved at this point but it certainly is giving consumers more pork options.

　　· 看上去出現(xiàn)了很多新的豬肉銷售方式：無(wú)抗肉、人道主義、增強(qiáng)型、特定品種及豬舍類型。所有這些都形成了不同方式的市場(chǎng)群體。這能確定這一方式的影響有多大，但無(wú)疑為消費(fèi)者提供了更多的豬肉選擇。

　　· There appears to be an evolution in trailers for moving pigs. Different manufacturers are offering trailers with options of movable floors, built in fans and water, back lifts, and multiple axles. There appears to be a new direction with some being powered by animal welfare considerations.

　　· 運(yùn)輸活豬的拖車似乎也發(fā)生了變革。不同制造商提供為拖車提供各種選配，包括可活動(dòng)地板、內(nèi)置風(fēng)機(jī)和飲水，后向升降機(jī)及多條車軸。這可能是出于動(dòng)物福利考慮所帶來(lái)的新趨勢(shì)。

　　Summary

　　總結(jié)

　　A good positive World Pork Expo. It appears PEDv has mostly disappeared. Prrs has gone to the forefront of diseases again. Expansion is underway. Good thing new plants in Michigan and Iowa are coming on stream hopefully in 2017.

　　世界豬肉博覽會(huì)整體很好且積極。豬流行性腹瀉病毒似乎已經(jīng)基本上消失了。豬繁殖和呼吸障礙綜合征再次走到疾病的臺(tái)前。擴(kuò)張正在進(jìn)行中。好消息是密歇根州和艾奧瓦州的新工廠有望于2017年投產(chǎn)。